PROSPECTS FOR CHINA'S OIL INDUSTRY OF THE EARLY 21ST CENTURY

Zhang Kang

doi:10.11743/ogg20010201

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PROSPECTS FOR CHINA'S OIL INDUSTRY OF THE EARLY 21ST CENTURY
Vol. 22, Issue 2, Pages: 95-99(2001)
Online First：25 June 2001，

Published：2001
DOI： 10.11743/ogg20010201
稿件说明：

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DOI：

Zhang Kang. PROSPECTS FOR CHINA'S OIL INDUSTRY OF THE EARLY 21ST CENTURY[J]. 2001, 22(2): 95-99. DOI： 10.11743/ogg20010201.

摘要

经过50年的发展

中国石油工业已进入稳步发展的壮年期.东部老油区的特点是储量年增率低

绝对值大

剩余可采储量和产量都呈缓慢下降之势

但仍能挖掘潜力

使之尽可能推迟或减缓产量递减.西北和海域将实现产区的战略接替并开拓战略后备区.在10年左右实现新产区的战略接替是决定21世纪初中国石油产量走势的关键.在此关键时刻

须加大引进外资和先进科技的力度

促进中国石油工业的发展;全方位、多元化地开拓和利用国际石油市场

以保障经济持续发展对石油的需求.

Abstract

China's oil industry has developed into manhood stage. The reserves in East China are characterized by lower annual grouth rate with large absolute meserves

slow decrease of residual recoverable reserves and oil production

but there is still a potential to develop oil production and slow down the decrease. As for Northwest China and China's sea area

petroleum provinces for strategic replacement and strategic reserve regions will be realized within 10 years. This is the decisive facter in determining the tendency of early 21st centoury's oil production. It is important to attract foreign capital and bring in advanced technology so as to improve China's oil industry; to develop and make full use of the broad oil market in order to ensure the demand for oil of China's sustainable econonic growth.