Ji Zhifeng, Li Fuheng, Pan Xiaohua, et al. Risk-value assessment of existing overseas exploration projects[J]. 2016, 37(6): 990-996.DOI: 10.11743/ogg20160621.
Despite a great progress has been achieved in overseas business in recent years
Chinese oil companies have been facing problems in recovering their exploration investments.The situation has been exacerbated by falling oil price started in mid 2014.It seems that the companies are in an urgent need of a risk-value assessment method for their overseas exploration projects so as to avoid investment losses and improve exploration deployment.There are many risks in the operation of the existing exploration projects
including internal risks
namely geological risk and exploration technology risk
and external risks
like political risk
security risk in host country of the resources
and contract risk from the project itself.The risk-value assessment method proposed here focuses on the resource potential of the exploration projects concerned
with consideration of both the internal and external risks.Four types of project characteristics combinations
including low risk-low value projects
low risk-high value projects
high risk-low value projects and high risk-high value projects
are also proposed before putting forward a strategy and suggestion for optimizing exploration business.The merits of the method have been verified through applications in controlling project risks
adding reserves
and implementing economic targets.It is also proven useful in optimization of exploration assets and business deployment.