Oil & Gas Geology ›› 2022, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 1489-1496.doi: 10.11743/ogg20220617
• Methods and Technologies • Previous Articles Next Articles
Chaoying Liu1,2(), Jun Li2, Baohua Wang1, Linjie Zhao1
Received:
2022-05-25
Revised:
2022-09-13
Online:
2022-11-21
Published:
2022-11-21
CLC Number:
Chaoying Liu, Jun Li, Baohua Wang, Linjie Zhao. Valuation methods of mineral rights of blocks with diverse exploration maturity[J]. Oil & Gas Geology, 2022, 43(6): 1489-1496.
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Table 1
Conditions for the application of different block valuation methods"
评估方法 | 适用范围 | 主要参数 | 精度 |
---|---|---|---|
现金流量法 | 地质认识较清楚, 需要开发方案, 中-高勘探程度区 | 地质:资源量 开发:开发概念设计等 经济:成本、油气价格等 | 较高 |
预期货币价值法 | 有一定的地质认识, 需要开发方案, 中-高勘探程度区 | 地质:资源量、成功概率等 开发:开发概念设计等 经济:成本、油气价格等 | 较高 |
勘探开发全成本法 | 低勘探程度区, 有初步地质认识 | 地质:地质参数、资源量等 经济:储量发现成本历史数据等 | 一般 |
储量价值类比法 | 有初步地质认识, 需储量类比区, 中-低勘探程度区 | 地质:地质参数、资源量等 经济:相似油藏储量价值等 | 一般 |
可比成交价格法 | 基于市场行情, 有相似区块交易记录, 低勘探程度区 | 地质:地质参数、资源量等 经济:相似区块交易价格等 | 较低 |
Table 2
Resource calculation data of block S in the mid-western Tarim Basin"
概率分布 | 出让区块小于9 000 m 埋深断裂长度/km | 类比区长度资源 丰度/(104 t·km-1) | 类比相似系数 | 地质资源量/ (104t) | 可采资源量/ (104t) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
P1 | 45.70 | 411.00 | 1.00 | 15 702.09 | 1 962.76 |
P10 | 40.15 | 399.22 | 0.98 | 13 656.23 | 1 707.03 |
P50 | 22.62 | 350.12 | 0.89 | 7 126.28 | 890.79 |
P90 | 12.74 | 307.06 | 0.82 | 3 718.73 | 464.84 |
P99 | 11.20 | 298.00 | 0.80 | 3 194.41 | 399.30 |
Table 6
Value of block S in the mid-western Tarim Basin calculated with the comparable transaction price method"
区块名称 | 可采资源量 (油当量)/(104t) | 油气成藏 概率 | 风险评估后的可采资源量/(104t) | 单位可采资源量 成交价/(元·t-1) | 区块最终成交价格/亿元 | 公司内部评估价格/亿元 | 溢价倍数 | 可比成交价格法 预测价格/亿元 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A | 1 500 | 0.9 | 1 350 | 13 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.63 | — |
B | 987 | 0.8 | 789 | 61 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 2.34 | — |
C | 800 | 0.5 | 400 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.45 | — |
S | 891 | 0.8 | 713 | 57 | — | 4.1 | — | 9.5 |
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