[1] 罗斯P R.油气勘探项目的风险分析与管理[M].窦立荣,译.北京:石油工业出版社,2002:6-50. Rose P R.Risk analysis and management of petroleum exploration ventures[M].Dou Lirong,translated.Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2002:6-50. [2] 国土资源部油气战略研究中心.新一轮全国油气资源评价[M].北京:中国地大出版社,2009:66-71. Strategic Research Center of Oil & Gas Resources,Ministry of Land & Resources.The latest national petroleum resources assessment[M].Beijing:China University of Geosciences Press,2009:66-71. [3] 张湘宁,任宏斌,张学文.对外合作油气资源评价方法探讨[J].石油学报,2003,24(1):9-14. Zhang Xiangning,Ren Hongbin,Zhang Xuewen.Discussion on resources assessment of PetroChina methodology in cooperation projects with foreign oil company[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2003,24(1):9-14. [4] 胡素云,郭秋麟,谌卓恒,等.油气空间分布预测方法[J].石油勘探与开发,2007,34(1):113-117. Hu Suyun,Guo Qiulin,Chen Zhuoheng,et al.A method of predicting petroleum resource spatial distribution and its application[J].Petroleum Exploration and Development,2007,34(1):113-117. [5] 陈善勇,金之钧,刘小平.黄骅坳陷第三系油气成藏体系定量评价[J].石油与天然气地质,2004,25(5):544-547,602. Chen Shanyong,Jin Zhijun,Liu Xiaoping.Quantitative evaluation of Tertiary petroleum accumulation systems in Huanghua depression[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2004,25(5):544-547,602. [6] 吕鸣岗,朱向东.圈闭/区带的地质风险分析[J].石油学报,1997,18(2):49-53. Lv Minggang,Zhu Xiangdong.Geological risk analysis of trap and play[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,1997,18(2):49-53. [7] Loeliger H A,Lustenberger F.Probability propagation and decoding in analog VLSI[J].IEEE Transactions on Information Theory,2001,47(2):837-843. [8] Casella G,Robert C P.Monte carlo statistical methods(second edition)[M].New York:Springer,2004. [9] Chen Zhuoheng.Undiscovered petroleum accumulation mapping using model-based stochastic simulation[J].Mathematical Geology,2006,38(1):1-16. [10] US Geological Survey World Energy Assessment Team.US Geological Survey world petroleum assessment 2000-Description and results[DB/CD].US Geological Survey Data Series DDS-60,2000. [11] 盛秀杰,金之钧,肖晔,等.圈闭评价中含油气性风险依赖性概念、方法及应用[J].石油与天然气地质,2015,36(1):154-161. Sheng Xiujie,Jin Zhijun,Xiao Ye,et al.Concept,method and application of geological risk dependency indicating petroleum discovery[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2015,36(1):154-161. [12] 金之钧.五种油气藏规模概率分布模型比较研究[J].石油学报,1995,74(3):12-15. Jin Zhijun.A comparison study on five basic oil and gas pool size probability distribution models and its significance[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,1995,74(3):12-15. [13] Kaufman G M.Statistical decision and related techniques in oil and gas exploration[M].Englewood Cliffs,USA:Prentice-Hall,1963. [14] 张中华,周继涛.油气藏最小商业储量规模计算方法[J].石油与天然气地质,2015,36(1):148-153. Zhang Zhonghua,Zhou Jitao.Calculation of the minimum commercial reserves of petroleum reservoirs[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2015,36(1):148-153. [15] 刘超英,闫相宾,高山林,等.油气预探区带评价优选方法及其应用[J].石油与天然气地质,2015,36(2):314-318. Liu Chaoying,Yan Xiangbin,Gao Shanlin,et al.Play evaluation methods and their application in preliminary exploration[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2015,36(2):314-318. [16] 李娜,闫相宾,蔡利学.圈闭含油气概率赋值标准及其在塔里木盆地的应用[J].石油与天然气地质,2015,36(2):330-338. Li Na,Yan Xiangbin,Cai Lixue.Assignment standard for hydrocarbon-bearing probability of traps and its application in Tarim Basin[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2015,36(2):330-338. [17] 徐旭辉,蔡利学,刘超英,等.油气勘探目标评价与优选系统[J].石油与天然气地质,2015,36(3):517-524. Xu Xuhui,Cai Lixue,Liu Chaoying,et al.Evaluation and selection system for petroleum exploration targets[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2015,36(3):517-524. [18] 蔡庆龙.油气勘探风险评价方法与评价模型[J].石油化工技术经济,2003,19(2):58-62. Cai Qinglong.Evaluation method and model of risks in oil-gas exploration[J].Techno-economics in Petrochemicals,2003,19(2):58-62. [19] 蔡利学,闫相宾,李娜,等.钻探目标评价优选决策系统[J].石油与天然气地质,2014,35(5):720-727. Cai Lixue,Yan Xiangbin,Li Na,et al.Evaluation,optimization and decision system for prospects to drill[J].Oil & Gas Geology,2014,35(5):720-728. [20] 方小东,郭元岭,胡兴中.油气勘探状态评价新方法[J].河南石油,2005,106(6):6-8. Fang Xiaodong,Guo Yuanling,Hu Xingzhong.New evaluation method of petroleum exploration[J].Hennan Petroleum,2005,106(6):6-8. [21] 金之钧,张金川.油气资源评价技术[M].北京:石油工业出版社,1999:66-71. Jin Zhijun,Zhang Jinchuan.Petroleumresource assessment techniques[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,1999:66-71. [22] 金之钧.中国海相碳酸盐岩层系油气形成与富集规律[J].中国科学(D辑:地球科学),2011,41(7):910-926. Jin Zhijun.Formation and accumulation of oil and gas in marine carbonate strata in Chinese sedimentary basins[J].Sciencein China(Series D:Earth Science),2011,41(7):910-926. [23] David O,David J.Geographic information analysis (2nd Edition).[M].New York:Wiely & Sons,2010:315-337. [24] 金之钧,张一伟.油气成藏机理与分布规律[M].北京:石油工业出版社, 2003:87-90. Jin Zhijun,Zhang Yiwei.Hydrocarbonaccumulation mechanisms and oil/gas distribution[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2003:87-90. [25] Lee P J.Statisticalmethods for estimating petroleum resources[M].Oxford,UK:Oxford University Press,2008:56-71. [26] White D A.Geologic risking guide for prospects and plays[J].AAPG Bulletin,1993,77(12):2048-2061. [27] Rose P R.Chance of success and its use in petroleum exploration[C]//Norman H F,Edward A B.The business of petroleum exploration.AAPG Treatise of Petroleum Geology:Handbook of Petroleum Geology,1992:71-86. [28] Melanie M.An introduction to genetic algorithms[M].Cambridge,UK:MIT Press,1996:158-161. |