石油与天然气地质 ›› 2001, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (1): 1-8.doi: 10.11743/ogg20010101

• 特稿 •    下一篇

中国天然气资源及前景分析——兼论“西气东输”的储量保证

戴金星, 夏新宇, 卫延召   

  1. 中国石油勘探开发研究院, 北京, 100083
  • 收稿日期:2000-12-25 出版日期:2001-03-25 发布日期:2012-01-16

ESTIMATION OF NATURAL GAS RESOURCES AND RESERVES IN CHINA: WITH CONCERNING TO RESERVES FOR WEST-EAST GAS PIPELINE PROJECT

Dai Jinxing, Xia Xinyu, Wei Yanzhao   

  1. Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Developmen, CNPC, Beijing
  • Received:2000-12-25 Online:2001-03-25 Published:2012-01-16

摘要:

截止1999年底,中国(未统计台湾省,下同)共发现以烃类气为主的天然气田171个,探明地质储量20635×10m3,可采储量13049×108m3,剩余可采储量为10213×108m3.从191年至今的4个五年计划中,由于勘探和研究力度加大,指导勘探的天然气成因理论从"一元论"(油型气成气理论)走向"二元论"(油型气成气论加煤成气成气论),探明天然气储量连续翻番.中国共发现探明地质储量大于100×108m3的大中型气田47个,总储量为15171×108m3,占全国天然气总储量的74%;储量大于500×108m3的6个大气田中,前4个气田均是煤成气田,煤成大、中型气田的储量对全国天然气储量举足轻重.最新评价表明中国常规天然气的资源量为50.6×1012m3,可采资源量可达13.3×1012m3.1999年底中国天然气可采储量探明率仅9.8%,如果达到加拿大的探明程度,则探明率可达41.9%,探明可采储量可达5.5×1012m3.预计中国2005年和2015年可以年产天然气500×108m3和1000×108m3.罗马尼亚、意大利、墨西哥和德国在达到年产120×108m3左右时储采比为14~27,至今已稳产30年甚至更长;而目前塔里木盆地剩余可采储量为3397×108m3,按年产120×108m3计算,储采比为2,完全可以启动"西气东输"工程,塔里木盆地天然气有动态稳产30年的储量保证.

关键词: 中国, 天然气, 资源, 储量, 产量, 塔里木盆地

Abstract:

By the end of 1999,there are 171 discovered hydrocarbon gas fields in China(not including Taiwan Province;the same below).Their total geological reserves amount to 20 635×108m3,recoverable reserves 13 049×108m3,the remaining recoverable reserves 10 213×108m3.Ever since 1981 natural gas reserves have increased by 7.9 times.due to the enhancement of exploration and researches,as well as the application of the theory of coal measure gas.Large or medium size gas fields with proven geological reserves over 100×108m3 are 47.Their total proven geological reserves are up to 15 171×108m3,and covers 74% of total proven geological reserves in China.Within 6 largest gas fields with proved geological reseves over 500×108m3,the first fields 4 are coal-formed gasfields,indicating the importance of coal-formed gas field in China's gas reserves.Newly estimated conventional gas resources in China are 50.6×1012m3,with 13.3×1012m3 recoverable reserves.By the end of 1999,only 9.8% of the recoverable resources are proved.If the proved rate can be as high as that of Canada,the proved rate could be 41.9%,proved recoverable reserves would be 5.58×1012m3.It is estimated that annual gas production will reach 500×108m3 in the year 2005 and 1 000×108m3 in the year 2015 in China.The ratio of reserve to production of Romania,ltaly,Mexico,and German were only 14~27 when its production reached 120×108m3,and this production kept for 30 year or even more.Compared with them,Tarim Basin can insure 30 years of stable gas production of 120×108m3 per year with its 3 397×108m3 remaining recoverable gas reserves.(the reserve-production ratio is 28).So the gas reserves in Tarim Basin is ready for the "West-East Gas Pipeline Project".

Key words: China, natural gas, resources, reserves, production, Tarim Bastin

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