中国迎来页岩油气革命了吗?

doi:10.11743/ogg20190301

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 世界能源消费量随着经济的发展持续增长，但油气在世界一次能源消费中的主体地位将长期保持稳定。页岩油气在全球油气供应中的占比在不断增大，这主要得益于美国页岩革命的成功。页岩气开发使美国成为天然气净出口国，而页岩油使美国的石油对外依存度大幅下降。美国页岩革命带动了美国经济的发展，同时也对世界能源格局产生了深远的影响。在中国政府的大力推动下，通过国家石油公司的积极实践，中国页岩气在短期内快速实现了重大突破，中国成为继美国和加拿大之后第三个具有进行商业化开发页岩气能力的国家。虽然中国的页岩气勘探开发取得了较大的进展，但仍面临着诸多挑战，而这些难题的解决需要理论、技术和机制等方面的创新。中国具有巨大的页岩油资源潜力，但页岩油勘探开发困难重重，在陆相页岩油富集机理、分布规律、甜点预测与低成本开发等方面都需要开展深入的研究。总体来看，中国正迎来页岩气革命，而页岩油革命还未到来。

关键词: 资源前景, 世界能源格局, 页岩气, 页岩油, 美国页岩气革命, 页岩油气革命

Abstract: With the development of economy,the world energy consumption continues to grow,and the dominant position of oil and gas in the world primary energy consumption will remain stable for a long period.The proportion of shale oil and gas in the global oil and gas supply is increasing continuously,which is mainly due to the success of the American shale revolution.The successful development of shale gas has turned the United States into a net exporter of natural gas,while shale oil has greatly reduced its dependence on foreign oil to a new low of nearly 10%.The shale revolution in the United States not only has been boosting the economy development of the United States,but also has a far-reaching impact on the world's energy pattern.Under the vigorous promotion of the Chinese government and through the active practice of the NOCs,China's shale gas has achieved a major breakthrough in a short period of time,becoming the third country across the world with commercial development capability after the United States and Canada.Although China has made great progress in shale gas exploration and development,it still faces many challenges,the solution to which requires innovation in theories,technologies and business models.China has huge potential of shale oil resources,but the exploration and development of the shale oil are even more challenging.It is necessary to carry out in-depth research on the enrichment mechanism,distribution pattern,sweet-spot prediction and low-cost development technologies of continental shale oil.Overall,China is embracing the shale gas revolution,while the shale oil revolution has not yet arrived.

Key words: resource potential, global energy landscape, shale gas, shale oil, shale gas revolution in the U.S., shale oil & gas revolution

中图分类号:

TE132.2

金之钧,白振瑞,高波,等. 中国迎来页岩油气革命了吗?[J]. 石油与天然气地质, 2019, 40(3): 451-458. doi: 10.11743/ogg20190301 Jin Zhijun,Bai Zhenrui,Gao Bo,et al. Has China ushered in the shale oil and gas revolution?[J]. Oil & Gas Geology, 2019, 40(3): 451-458. doi: 10.11743/ogg20190301

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